Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 7.422302 8.477207 9.639680 11.017525 12.608456 14.390535 16.541953
2025-08-17 5.886787 7.228677 8.825470 10.872285 13.435920 16.553171 20.649900
2025-08-24 4.954642 6.405506 8.229274 10.702769 13.989563 18.234142 24.174804
2025-08-31 4.277825 5.765033 7.719312 10.494636 14.365946 19.620457 27.370674
2025-09-07 3.971531 5.552944 7.714618 10.913460 15.574716 22.192854 32.432415
2025-09-14 3.635336 5.249264 7.533062 11.037589 16.345908 24.191506 36.862237
2025-09-21 3.315030 4.926874 7.279703 11.010402 16.863179 25.835653 40.907120
2025-09-28 3.019167 4.606359 6.989696 10.883742 17.192969 27.197108 44.625425
2025-10-05 2.878774 4.505887 7.017656 11.244004 18.312622 29.901277 50.835201
2025-10-12 2.736058 4.385677 6.998732 11.518310 19.306563 32.483854 57.120569
2025-10-19 2.632057 4.316344 7.051231 11.908832 20.525029 35.556323 64.618806
2025-10-26 2.410433 4.031877 6.721981 11.611920 20.507493 36.448758 68.196436
2025-11-02 2.230684 3.806068 6.476925 11.446597 20.721489 37.802301 72.861858
2025-11-09 2.072236 3.603805 6.254988 11.300486 20.952999 39.206664 77.792957
2025-11-16 1.925266 3.409282 6.029401 11.123930 21.103489 40.460956 82.555918
2025-11-23 1.786881 3.218855 5.794903 10.907022 21.149515 41.505627 86.992943
2025-11-30 1.750306 3.212257 5.896498 11.343523 22.530376 45.365574 97.948920
2025-12-07 1.675971 3.128477 5.845534 11.472901 23.295537 48.029803 106.590306
2025-12-14 1.588267 3.012146 5.722497 11.444564 23.725723 50.022927 113.943524
2025-12-21 1.495692 2.879290 5.556667 11.312549 23.919236 51.516609 120.304105
2025-12-28 1.465583 2.867707 5.630153 11.688053 25.254897 55.685849 133.672226
2026-01-04 1.427288 2.836525 5.661051 11.973988 26.417345 59.582439 146.887763
2026-01-11 1.402635 2.831272 5.744407 12.381101 27.895928 64.375737 163.059500